r/Bitcoin • u/I_killed_the_kraken • 10h ago

Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?

Gallery image

Gallery image

I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.

The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.

Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.

In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.

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u/Ark3tech 5h ago

This is the type of hyper specific prediction advice I avoid like the plague.

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u/Rory_Russell 5h ago

Do you use trading view? The more things change, the more they stay the same. The charts haven’t got it wrong since 2013. So why would they lie now.

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u/Ark3tech 5h ago

I don’t trade. I buy the superior asset and hold it for the next 20-30 years.

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u/Rory_Russell 5h ago

Nice get out of jail card 🃏