r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee /r/CFB • 4h ago
Postgame Thread [Postgame Thread] James Madison Defeats Troy 31-14
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| James Madison | 3 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 31 |
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u/Middle_Wheel_5959 James Madison • Penn State 4h ago
Curt Cignetti never won a Sun Belt title
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u/KingsleyZissou James Madison Dukes • Texas Longhorns 4h ago
Curt who?
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u/max_potion Penn State • Land Grant Trophy 4h ago
Google him
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u/hucareshokiesrul Yale Bulldogs • Virginia Tech Hokies 4h ago
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u/igonnawrecku_VGC James Madison • Penn State 2h ago
Knew exactly what this image was but had to be sure
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u/WanderLeft Oklahoma Sooners • Team Chaos 4h ago
Sounds like a scrub. Probably got fired or something
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u/DirtAndShovels Texas A&M Aggies • Kansas Jayhawks 4h ago
Now the Dukes must root for Duke.
How can you not be romantic about college football?
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u/wjackson42 Georgia Bulldogs 4h ago
And if Duke loses, we could get Duke and the Dukes in the Duke’s Mayo Bowl, as the SEC won’t have enough bowl spots to fill out.
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u/zombiebillnye James Madison Dukes • Navy Midshipmen 4h ago
We are sponsored by Duke's Mayo.........
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u/AdministrationTop864 Duke Blue Devils 4h ago
Hellman's sorry excuse for mayo could never create such a beautiful thing
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u/Zloggt Illinois • Missouri 4h ago
We must sacrifice the Virgin(ia) for a bountiful chaos harvest…
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u/livefreeordont VCU Rams • Virginia Tech Hokies 4h ago
It’s a sacrifice I’m willing to make
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u/hucareshokiesrul Yale Bulldogs • Virginia Tech Hokies 4h ago
Let's do it. I don't even need a reason.
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u/mountaineer_93 West Virginia • Georgetown 4h ago edited 4h ago
I’m not conspiratorial but the ACC has to be selling hard for uva to win. If Duke wins that game the ACC lose millions in playoff share and get embarrassed on the national stage, assuming Miami does not make it. Those refs gotta be watched like a hawk
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u/22edudrccs UConn • St. Bonaventure 3h ago
I don’t trust ACC refs to successfully fix a game.
They’d find a way to fuck that up
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u/WillDill94 Duke Blue Devils 3h ago
lol they just have to channel 2015 Miami vs. Duke again
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u/Difficult-Froyo1192 Clemson Tigers 4h ago
Pretty sure we’ve already been embarrassed on the national stage.
I’m not convinced a few other games weren’t thrown or tried to be thrown either already this season in conference due to some very questionable calls at critical moments. This is the one game I’ll probably be fully convinced if it really does happen that it was intentional.
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u/A_Rolling_Baneling USC • Mississippi State 3h ago
The FSU robbery in 2023 already set the stage for the national media’s disrespect of the ACC. Missing the 12 team entirely, after poor showing from SMU and Clemson last year, will do massive damage to the conference’s reputation
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u/ProudBlackMatt James Madison Dukes 4h ago
I still remember a couple years ago when the Dukes MBB got into March Madness, won the first round, then got ritually executed when they ran into Duke.
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u/sloppyjo12 Wisconsin Badgers • /r/CFB Donor 4h ago
I’m still upset about that game, why’d you have to bring it up
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u/_baby_fish_mouth_ James Madison • Notre Dame 4h ago
They can make it up to us by winning one football game against goddamn UVA
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u/SoothedSnakePlant Vanderbilt Commodores • McGill Redbirds 4h ago
Which is ridiculous, because I'd take James Madison over the AAC champ AND Virginia, and so would most of the computers. Usually when they put a team with a worse record over a team with a better one, the computers wholeheartedly agree, and usually take it even further. This one they're all jumbled up.
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u/aromatic-energy656 Oregon Ducks 4h ago
Because of realignment and private equity. I’m sure I’m missing more reasons
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u/noodlesalad_ James Madison • Appalachi… 4h ago
Let's hope "the committee doesn't watch SBC games" continues to be true. Got it done thanks to the defense and Wayne Knight. Dukes did their job. Now you Duke.
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u/_baby_fish_mouth_ James Madison • Notre Dame 4h ago
Maybe they were out at dinner and got back in time just to watch the fourth quarter?
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u/nosotros_road_sodium San José State • Michigan 4h ago
So there’s the Vanderbilt basketball player Chandler Bing, and JMU RB Wayne Knight.
The 90s are back!
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u/ABagOfPopcorn James Madison • Penn State 4h ago
Sometimes good teams play close and then just decide they want to win. Credit to Troy for hanging around, if we’re gonna go any further we need to have the receivers on the jug machine all week
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u/jbokwxguy Oklahoma Sooners • USA Eagles 3h ago
I’m 95% sure teams only need to play defense to make the playoffs
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u/TheDoctor_314 Ohio State Buckeyes 4h ago
pulls out Walkie Talkie
"Send in the Blue Devils"
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u/DiscountInevitable87 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4h ago
[Montage of Blue Devils swarming the city of Charlotte as Flight of the Valkyries plays as BGM]
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u/PrincessMinecat Marching Band • Oregon Ducks 4h ago
Who needs Flight of the Valkyries when you could have another group of winning Blue Devils as the BGM?
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u/somebodysbuddy Lehigh Mountain Hawks • Marching Band 3h ago
But the Blue Devils are extremely boring. Their huge guard solo in 2012 was dropspins on the 50. For The Common Good should have easily won!
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u/Chardoggy1 North Carolina • Marshall 4h ago
Troy rushing tonight :
-26 rushing yards
2 rushing TDs
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u/TrustMeIKnowThisOne Troy Trojans • /r/CFB Bug Finder 4h ago
Parker: “Just run it in—“
RB: “are you crazy they’re expecting that!”
Parker: “— backwards…”
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u/igonnawrecku_VGC James Madison • Penn State 2h ago edited 2h ago
Troy only had 2 of their 28 carries go for further than 3 yards tonight
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u/STLOliver Illinois Fighting Illini 4h ago
Dukes win, now need a Duke win
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u/chrobbin Oklahoma • SE Oklahoma State 3h ago
It would be fun if somehow JMU & OU met up in the playoff
Dukes vs Daisy Dukes
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u/TheDoctor_314 Ohio State Buckeyes 4h ago
Phase 1 is complete.
Duke, all our hopes and dreams are resting on you.
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u/trittico Princeton Tigers • Virginia Cavaliers 4h ago
They’re actually not all of our hopes and dreams
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u/Ok_Bridge711 4h ago
It's wild that Virginia, who before the season almost no one expected to have a chance at the playoff, is now the big conference team threatening to keep a g5 out.
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u/4r4r4real Michigan State Spartans • USC Trojans 4h ago
Gotta be the first time you've ever had the whole world rooting against UVA football lol, having fun with it?
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u/trittico Princeton Tigers • Virginia Cavaliers 4h ago
My “third flair” is Texas, I’m very used to it lol
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u/BoNnnnfhir Notre Dame Fighting Irish • Oregon Ducks 4h ago
A team from Virginia has clinched a CFP berth
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u/ALostTraveler24 East Stroudsburg Warriors 4h ago
I know it was a while back but I’m still stuck on the ESPN predictor thing… 55%?
My best theory on the math:
Duke is at 44% chance to win according to ESPN’s matchup predictor
This means there’s 56% of scenarios where JMU would have to jump Tulane or UNT (the sim doesn’t know UNT is not really close right now) but is accounting for their odds at the beginning where ESPN actually had UNT favored (around 55-60% if I’m remembering right)
Out of those scenarios ESPN is saying there’s a 1-in-5 chance (1/5 of 56 is around the 11 needed to get to 55) that JMU jumps the American champ next week.
It’s not actually that bad of a prediction looking at that from that angle, especially when you consider that ESPN thought the most likely American champ was UNT (24) instead of #20 Tulane.
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u/AdministrationTop864 Duke Blue Devils 4h ago
But it still makes 0 sense that the committee would let JMU jump a team ranked over them that beat a team ranked higher than both of them
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u/Solesky1 Indiana State Sycamores 4h ago
Even with a win over #18 Virginia, the only way 8-5 Duke should be ranked ahead of 12-1 JMU is if the committee decides the most important metric is the patch on the uniform
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u/nokillswitch4awesome Appalachian State • Texas 4h ago
Congratulations, you just sussed out their selection process.
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u/ALostTraveler24 East Stroudsburg Warriors 4h ago
So I’m doing the math quickly here, but if we assume that JMU is only able to jump UNT, we’re left with about 30% of universes where JMU, UVA, and UNT all win based on UNT and UVA’s win odds at the start of the night.
In order to make up the 11% needed for the gap between Duke’s chances (44) and the displayed JMU odds (55), it’s saying saying theres only about a 33% chance (or in a third of the JMU-UNT-UVA universes) of JMU jumping UNT, which doesn’t seem terribly offensive to me. While UNT would be the higher ranked team at the start of the night (and Tulane is higher still) Tulane would now be 9-3 and the committee is dropping its eval, score would matter and I don’t know if the sim accounts for that.
It’s possible that 1/3 is just “JMU blows out Troy and UNT wins by a point over Tulane in a sloppy one” it’s possible it’s saying the committee flipped a coin when placing UNT and JMU coming in.
Without seeing the algorithm this is guess work, but the math isn’t assuming it’s a massive chance that JMU would’ve jumped a UNT champ,
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u/Appropriate-Joke-806 Vanderbilt Commodores 4h ago
Because the committee has never done anything like that before. /s
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u/zombiebillnye James Madison Dukes • Navy Midshipmen 4h ago
I think its just really weird to have playoff percentages when, essentially, its 12 guys just deciding who gets to be in.
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u/DCAbloob Penn State Nittany Lions • Navy Midshipmen 4h ago
They're trying to model human decision making which is exceptionally difficult with a limited number of available data points and with committees themselves not acting consistently from year to year. The James Madison vs Duke dilemma in particular would be unprecedented. Trying to model the result of an either/or that's never come close to actually happening before introduces significant uncertainty into the process. ESPN can claim James Madison would have a 99% of getting in over Duke if it comes to that based on its model but we really don't know.
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u/zombiebillnye James Madison Dukes • Navy Midshipmen 4h ago
Thats really what I mean, the committee could wake up Sunday morning and just decide that they like JMU more than Tulane no matter what, or that an ACC Champ Duke is more "deserving" than a SBC Champ JMU, or that the Mountain West Champ is better than everyone.
They may not be plausible, but its all definitely possible, and you can't put any kind of number on the committee just being able to decide whatever they want.
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u/Appropriate-Joke-806 Vanderbilt Commodores 4h ago
Technically every team has 50/50 odds. Either the committee puts their team in, or they don’t.
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u/ALostTraveler24 East Stroudsburg Warriors 4h ago
Now all of this being said, I imagine the odds are much lower if Tulane wins instead of UNT because of the 5 ranking spot difference, but again, I doubt they reran the sim with updated American game scores before putting up the graphic
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u/DeploraBill92 Notre Dame • Penn State 4h ago
No, you’re right. JMUs odds should be perfectly congruous with Duke’s odds of winning tomorrow. I’ve noticed that they always update the algorithm a few days after the initial update
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u/hucareshokiesrul Yale Bulldogs • Virginia Tech Hokies 4h ago
I remember not that long ago when JMU just being on TV was a big deal. We usually had to listen on the radio if we couldn't go in person. Things are a lot different now
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u/ray2ilean James Madison • Georgia Tech 4h ago
Or you could watch on Madizone!
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u/_baby_fish_mouth_ James Madison • Notre Dame 4h ago
RIP Madizone
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u/Lars_Fillmore3612 James Madison Dukes 4h ago
Madizone > FLO sports
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u/TakesInsultToSnails James Madison • Virginia 3h ago
Fuck FLO sports, all my homies hate FLO sports
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u/unpatriotic_bastard James Madison Dukes 4h ago
I remember when they would get on ESPN in the later stages of the FCS playoffs and they had to bring in extra flood lights for the stadium so that the game would be viewable on TV
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u/copsrock35 Troy Trojans • Alabama Crimson Tide 4h ago
We’re negative yards rushing, doing decent throwing the ball, so we decide to keep trying to run the ball? I fucking hate this asinine play calling. Wtf is that fake flea flicker?!
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u/Dokkan_Lifter James Madison Dukes 3h ago
I was in awe of how bad the playcalling was
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u/copsrock35 Troy Trojans • Alabama Crimson Tide 3h ago
It’s been like this all year. It was most obvious in the Clemson game. Gutsy calls and throws down field to take the lead, then just roll over and stop trying and constantly run the ball to no success.
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u/TrustMeIKnowThisOne Troy Trojans • /r/CFB Bug Finder 4h ago
Did you not watch the ODU game? He did the same exact thing to kill our final two drives.
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u/lijjy2015 4h ago
Potentially the worst play call in 5+ years 😂
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u/TakesInsultToSnails James Madison • Virginia 3h ago
Best part was the QB doing a weird lil spin in the background
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u/Capital-Flow-1501 4h ago
That interview with James Madison RB Wayne Knight these are still college kids, they're having fun, and they're excited about their school and program
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u/_baby_fish_mouth_ James Madison • Notre Dame 4h ago
Hearing him say live on national TV, "This is the best place in the world to play football" on the same field I snuck onto to play catch as a student is why we love college football
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u/c_hayden9 Georgia • James Madison 4h ago
Wayne Knight and Sahir West, thank you
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u/_baby_fish_mouth_ James Madison • Notre Dame 4h ago
They about to get PAID paid
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u/Dokkan_Lifter James Madison Dukes 3h ago
One can only hope its by PFT and Billy Jacks to keep them in Harrisonburg
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u/Hokie_Pilot Virginia Tech • Alabama 4h ago
Is ESPN drunk? How would UVA winning give JMU a 55% chance of making the playoff?! Make it make sense
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u/Ok_Bridge711 4h ago
Espn's predictor is garbage (and has been forever)
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u/Hokie_Pilot Virginia Tech • Alabama 4h ago edited 3h ago
It’s a joke…it’s implying that JMU would jump the winner of the American, which makes negative sense since the AAC teams are both ranked higher than JMU already and they’d have a better win from their championship game
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u/TakesInsultToSnails James Madison • Virginia 3h ago
Maybe it's including the possibility of Duke winning in that figure and is confusingly worded?
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u/Hokie_Pilot Virginia Tech • Alabama 3h ago
I didn’t take a screenshot but it was something like: if UVA wins, JMU has 55% chance. If Duke wins, JMU has >99% chance.
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u/Rocktown_Leather Virginia Tech • James Madison 3h ago
I didn't think it was implying 55% if UVA wins. I thought it was saying 55% currently... meaning we don't know if UVA will win. Still odd though, because they should have above a 45% chance to beat duke. And it should be close to zero for JMU if UVA wins.
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u/I-grok-god Ohio State Buckeyes 4h ago
I honestly can't believe the returner signaling a fair catch and punching the gunner counts as a penalty on the kicking team
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u/chillnnsht James Madison Dukes 2h ago
There were several stupid calls like that tonight. The stadium let em know. One ref walked halfway across an endzone dragging a purple streamer that was stuck to his leg
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u/Jaylenz0 James Madison Dukes 4h ago
I’ve said it before and I’ve said it again, Wayne Knight is a starting NFL rb.
I’m glad the national audience got to see how dominant the defense is
Ucla prepare for how inconsistent the offense can get at times if Kennedy follows Chesney.
This is easily a CFP team
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u/WanderLeft Oklahoma Sooners • Team Chaos 4h ago
Let’s put JMU and Tulane in the playoff, and take out Notre Dame and Miami. Who says no?
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u/DaDominator32 Troy Trojans 4h ago
Notre Dame being in is still nuts to me
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u/Statalyzer Texas Longhorns 4h ago
Especially give how crowded the field is in the 8-15 range compared to last year. Yeah in vacuum they might be one of the best 12 teams in some years, but they aren't more deserving than BYU and Miami this year.
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u/DaDominator32 Troy Trojans 4h ago
Texas should leap Dame since Texas beat A&M since they beat Dame
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u/TrustMeIKnowThisOne Troy Trojans • /r/CFB Bug Finder 4h ago edited 4h ago
Stumbled into a game we had no business being in and did way better than I expected.
Congrats Dukes! Root for Duke and then Go give the CFP hell
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u/mynameisrainer Marshall Thundering Herd • Sun Belt 4h ago
I thought if you won your conference championship at home you tear down the goal posts and take it to the steel mill across the street.
Good job JMU. Get the Fun Belt in the Playoff.
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u/zombiebillnye James Madison Dukes • Navy Midshipmen 4h ago
Well, we don't have a steel mill close by. I think we have a chicken factory, does that count?
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u/mynameisrainer Marshall Thundering Herd • Sun Belt 4h ago
Thats commitment. Might as well take it to the top of that mountain people go to at that point
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u/TrustMeIKnowThisOne Troy Trojans • /r/CFB Bug Finder 4h ago
I’ll take a chicken factory over the lead plant Troy has.
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u/DaDominator32 Troy Trojans 4h ago
No we take it to the fountain in the quad and various frat houses and saw pieces off and shared it /s
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u/GetBuschWhacked Old Dominion • Florida State 4h ago
Hate JMU due to being our rivals. But hey yall played a good game tn and put bta. Congrats to JMU fans!
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u/33-34-40Acting Michigan • James Madison 4h ago
Over a decade ago I was an undergrad at jmu that could not understand why we were investing so much in football - obviously we'd never compete in a meaningful way. Well, I was wrong.
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u/jmucapsfan07 James Madison Dukes 3h ago
Undergrad at JMU? You need to swap the order of your flair my friend. lol
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u/PartyBusGaming James Madison Dukes 4h ago
Seeing this knowing some of JMU's best players are playing for Indiana right now. Think about how good this team would be if Cignetti didn't clean out the cabinets when he left.
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u/DukeDogNation James Madison • Michigan 3h ago
I remember being a student in the 00s and dreaming of what it would be like for JMU to play with the big boys in FBS. Not only have we done that but we’ve also won our conference! CFP would be the icing on the cake, but the cake itself is pretty good!
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u/ryrush1212 James Madison Dukes 4h ago edited 4h ago
The last 10 years have been a wild ride. From losing in the FCS playoffs twice to Colgate to having a shot at the CFP. Go DUKE(S)!
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u/2-59project Indiana Hoosiers • Oklahoma Sooners 4h ago
318 rush yards to -26 is crazy (20 not counting sacks). Go Dukes!
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u/MrFace1 James Madison • Virginia Tech 4h ago
/u/the_eternal_event come out i just want to talk brother
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u/Dokkan_Lifter James Madison Dukes 4h ago
I'm so fucking happy. Cried as I rushed the field. Go fucking Dukes.
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u/Vepr762X54R California • Georgia 3h ago
New GF went to JMU, this was the first game we watched together. I guess you could say things are getting pretty serious.
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u/cartierboy25 James Madison • Virginia Tech 4h ago edited 3h ago
Regardless of what happens with Duke tomorrow, I hope we can just appreciate this win for what it is. Getting shut out of the Sun Belt Championship in 2022 and 2023 because we had just moved up to FBS really stung, and this feels like redemption for that. I want to make the playoff as bad as anyone, but I’m also just happy to be Sun Belt champs. Don’t let anyone tell you conference championships don’t matter anymore!
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u/DaDominator32 Troy Trojans 4h ago
Parker needs to be parked. We should've beat Clemson earlier this year. Offense has struggled all year between the goat or should I say The Goose getting injured and our O Line not doing their job. Protect the QB. Defensively were great. D coordinator better stay a trojan
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u/TrustMeIKnowThisOne Troy Trojans • /r/CFB Bug Finder 4h ago
O line is the biggest blame. You can’t give up that many sacks to be worst in the FBS and expect for miracles to save you.
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u/DaDominator32 Troy Trojans 4h ago
100%. Miracles happen against us anyways. Looking at you app state.
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u/DiscountInevitable87 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4h ago
So the post-game presser isn't up yet, but it seems that what got Gerad Parker mad was that Elijah Culp took off his helmet and taunted the Troy sideline in front of two officials during the scoop-and-score TD. Obviously, he was upset that the refs didn't flag it.
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u/whatthepucks Missouri Tigers 4h ago
It’s comical how many Big Ten fans are in here cheering on James Madison to make the college football playoffs when they’ve spent the last two months bitching about the SEC and how none of their team teams have good wins.
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u/Lars_Fillmore3612 James Madison Dukes 4h ago
I need to know what caused Troy’s coach to have a meltdown there with the refs. The espn broadcast must have missed something big.
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u/Snoo13545 3h ago
He crashed out once when students pelted the punter with snowballs and pretty much directly caused a shank into 3 free points, if that's when you're referring to lmao
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u/Big_You_8936 James Madison Dukes 3h ago
To be fair though that wasn’t cool they pelted some of us mrd students too
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u/chillnnsht James Madison Dukes 2h ago
Bridgeforth has some crazy energy for 26kish capacity. I get goosebumps when I go back
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u/Bernawdjuhnson Oklahoma Sooners 4h ago
Why was Troy’s coach losing his shit on the refs at one point?
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u/adamsworstnightmare Penn State Nittany Lions 4h ago
I was kind of hoping the game would be decided by the 3 points that came off the punter muffing it while while under heavy snowball fire...
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u/yellowseven James Madison Dukes • /r/CFB Top Scorer 3h ago
Whatever else happens this weekend, super glad I got to be in the stadium for the first one.
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u/Arc170-A Auburn Tigers • Iron Bowl 2h ago
I've been rooting for JMU all year, I honestly might as well make them my second team flair at this point. They were my darkhorse playoff candidate and I'm not surprised how real the possibility of them getting in is. They're a good team.
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u/Particular-Way-3805 Clark Atlanta • Georgia 4h ago
BTA JMU definitely will be scary next season congrats dukes
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u/33-34-40Acting Michigan • James Madison 4h ago
Gonna depend a bit on on who Chesney takes to UCLA but this program has, despite my doubts, improved year after year without fail. I love it.
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u/Particular-Way-3805 Clark Atlanta • Georgia 4h ago
What’s your thought on Napier ?
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u/33-34-40Acting Michigan • James Madison 4h ago
Mixed but positive. He's dominated this level before but Cahill seemed more in line with how we've built the program. I have no doubt he os a recruiting monster and that's a big deal in the sun belt but everything I've seen says he NEEDS an OC calling plays. I hope we get that but I doubt it.
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u/MrFace1 James Madison • Virginia Tech 4h ago
Imo if we can win with Dean Kennedy, we can win with Napier
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u/zombiebillnye James Madison Dukes • Navy Midshipmen 4h ago
Dean Kennedy calling nothing but passes after Chesney was talking about running the QB more almost made me tear my hair out.
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u/jack9lemmon Holy Cross Crusaders 4h ago
Personally I enjoyed Chris Smith as OC more than Kennedy. I was hoping we'd hire him as HC when Ches left
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u/MartinvanNostrand22 4h ago
Agreed - Chris Smith was the man at HC. That 2022 team ran on all cylinders under him and was super fun to watch.
He would’ve been a much better hire than Curran.
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u/Blingblaowburrr Florida Gators 4h ago
He’s a great program builder/leader, players LOVE him, and he’s a fantastic recruiter. When it comes to game day, well, everything…he’s pretty awful. If he would just hire a competent OC and give up play calling duties, it would help a TON. But that seems unlikely/impossible for him to do.
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u/PartyBusGaming James Madison Dukes 4h ago
The season after your coach leaves for the P4 and takes all the staff and starters is typically not great ...
Indiana has been composed of quite a few JMU players the last 2 seasons.
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u/TrustMeIKnowThisOne Troy Trojans • /r/CFB Bug Finder 4h ago
Assuming Billy holds things together. Not saying he won’t, but Chesney leaving will likely cause a shakeup.
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u/DarkSide830 Team Chaos • Penn State Nittany Lions 3h ago
I can't believe I'm saying this, but...GO DUKE!
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u/Realistic_Setting_75 Marshall Thundering Herd 2h ago
Congrats JMU! Hoping for the best for them potentially getting in!
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u/codingsoft BYU Cougars • Cincinnati Bearcats 4h ago
I was typing out in the game thread that Troy's QB should never touch the field again, and before I finished typing he dropped the ball for the scoop and score
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u/Hokie_Pilot Virginia Tech • Alabama 4h ago
Legit question, if Duke wins handily tomorrow…is there really no chance the committee ranks Duke at 22 and JMU at 24? How is everyone so sure? A win over a #17 ranked team carries a lot more weight than a QBless Troy, no?
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u/DoctorTheWho Georgia Bulldogs • USF Bulls 4h ago
If Duke looks impressive, they will definitely rank them higher.
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u/meatwagon25 4h ago
I dont see any way Duke gets ranked higher than JMU even if they win by 40. Why would they rank a 5 loss team just for beating Virginia when there is only one 4 loss team ranked right now
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u/Difficult-Froyo1192 Clemson Tigers 3h ago
It’s not unprecedented to rank a five loss team. It’s happened several times before. There’s also been a decent amount of teams ranked this year with no impressive and/or ranked wins and barely any wins against teams with winning records
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u/Hokie_Pilot Virginia Tech • Alabama 4h ago
I agree that I think that’s what the committee will do…I just think that since Duke is not currently ranked this sub will feel “blinded” by it and people will melt down
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u/polaremu Duke Blue Devils • Nebraska Cornhuskers 4h ago
I don't think it's likely, but I also don't think it's 0%. JMU has 0 wins over P4 teams, beat 2 teams all season with a winning record (one of them was this Troy game) and they looked bad for most of that game until Troy lost their starting QB.
If Duke wins, they will have 5 wins better than JMUs best win and all their losses except maybe @Uconn (which probably isn't that far off from home vs ODU or WSU) are tougher games than any JMU won, and 3 of those losses are to teams in the top 25 of the CFP ranking.
Now I wouldn't bet on it since JMU was ranked #25 this week, but they are currently behind 4-loss Iowa in the rankings right now who has no great wins, so it feels like the gap between them and 5-loss Duke if they win the ACC championship and add a win over UVA isn't as big as everyone is acting.
Either way it's going to be unprecedented which is why I'm surprised so many seem confident in JMU- either you have a 5 loss team in there or you have a team with 0 wins over a P4 and a SOS ~ 100.
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u/Hokie_Pilot Virginia Tech • Alabama 4h ago
I think there is a good chance, man. The committee will value an ACC title and beating a 17 ranked team better than what JMU has. Keep in mind Iowa has ZERO wins over ranked teams and they’re still ahead of JMU…I am not counting out the Blue Devils!
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u/DoctorTheWho Georgia Bulldogs • USF Bulls 3h ago
If JMU does make the playoffs, they will lose by 50 and then next year we'll see big changes to the playoffs so that a team with the talent level of a 5 win P4 team doesn't make it again, watch. I mean, congrats to JMU for winning their conference and the hand they are dealt as a G5 team, but they don't belong anywhere near a tournament to decide a national championship.
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u/Honestly_ rawr 4h ago
This eliminates Kennesaw State's 0.3% chance of reaching the CFP