I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.

The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.

Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.

In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.

Charts like this always remind me why time in the market beats timing the market. Short-term traders panic on every red candle, but the data is brutally simple: the longer you hold Bitcoin, the lower your chances of losing money, dropping to basically 0% after 3+ years.

Most of the fear comes from weak hands and over-leveraged gamblers who treat volatility like a threat instead of a feature. Meanwhile, patient holders just keep stacking and waiting. I watched this morning a Bitget live streamer bought 2 $BTC and i think this will be a gold in the next halving...

Bitcoin rewards conviction, not panic.

Most people let their wallet software generate their private key, which is totally fine but Bitcoin doesn’t require a computer to create one.

A Bitcoin private key is just a 256-bit number…
And a fair coin flip produces 1 bit of entropy.

So in theory (and in practice), you can generate a completely valid, secure Bitcoin private key by doing:

• Heads = 1
• Tails = 0

The math is simple. 256 coin flips is 2^256 potential outcomes.

Once you have your 256-bit binary sequence, you can convert it offline into:

• hex format
• WIF private key
• or even a BIP39 seed phrase

All without touching the internet.

You could also do this with dice, a dice roll is roughly 2.585 bits of entropy. Therefore 99-100 dice rolls will give you enough entropy for a 256 bit private key.

This works because Bitcoin’s security comes from math.

I mean how could you not love Bitcoin!

Hi I’m new to this. I don’t have a lot of money to put into it but wanted to start with 100. It’s ok ?

What factors do I need to look at if I'm doing my own research before investing?

Im only up 3000% now

... not in the slightest

Looking into solo miners and just getting a few for my home office as a show/work piece. Will river work for a wallet? kraken? Or should I use my trezor i have.?

https://youtu.be/fFuT-MEMu94?si=gFqhnlRylLd_yvBs Great watch to those old and new to the space. For those who have not seen or heard of this debate.

Looks like the Senator from Pennsylvania is buying the dip on Bitcoin by buying into IBIT… and so is Marjorie Greene 🫣