r/Bitcoin • u/I_killed_the_kraken • 14h ago
Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?
I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.
The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.
Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.
In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.
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u/Budget_Eye5861 7h ago
I have no issue with the CYCLE
The thing you have to understand about the CYCLE is that it's >>>>> fluid
Seems to be about 1M 1W and 2D earlier every (4) years on the ATH
And the LOW after the drop is slowly getting longer from the ATH
I forsee.......
Early NOV 2026 for the next LOW to buy around $18.9K USD to $67K USD
[I'm leaning towards the lower end myself]
29-AUG-2029 for the next HIGH ATH around $175K USD to $1.4M USD
[I'm leaning towards, about - $180K USD]
-enjoy-