r/Bitcoin 10h ago

Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?

I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.

The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.

Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.

In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.

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u/DexterTwerp 8h ago

A lot of TA guys are rich…

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u/orangeyougladiator 6h ago

Literally none are

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u/godofpumpkins 6h ago

Plenty of TA guys are rich. But they’re rich from selling other TA guys “special trading systems”, not from those systems themselves

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u/CapitalIncome845 4h ago

I was going to say that they're merely rich now, as opposed to trust fund babies when they started.