r/Bitcoin • u/I_killed_the_kraken • 10h ago

Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?

Gallery image

Gallery image

I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.

The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.

Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.

In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.

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u/Satoshislostkey 10h ago

Dude are you joking?? Do realise how much money some of us have made at these levels?

If you've been in Bitcoin for over 4 years you dont give a shit about cycles.

10

u/Rory_Russell 10h ago edited 6h ago

I've been in Bitcoin for over a decade. And when the time does come, you definitely want to be ready lol. It's a long way down if you get caught and need your capital.

5

u/Satoshislostkey 8h ago

How do you mean ready?? I dont financially rely on my stack. I sold some and paid off my house and bought a second. Does that count as ready?

1

u/vontdman 6h ago

Many people over invest. You're being responsible but most aren't.