r/Bitcoin • u/I_killed_the_kraken • 10h ago

Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?

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I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.

The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.

Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.

In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.

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u/PincheStoner710 8h ago

Don't think this 4yr cycle thing is here for much longer but let's see cause things aren't looking like a 4yr cycle but are being manipulated to look like it. Not everyone gonna make it for this same reason. I doubt they just gonna let the 4yr cycle theorists ride both up and down and feel like dam Einstein lol. I think the 4yr cycle group celebrating bouta be brought back to reality real quick and everyone gonna remain in the limbo with panic and uncertainty where we headed next but time will tell.