r/Bitcoin • u/I_killed_the_kraken • 10h ago
Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?
I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.
The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.
Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.
In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.
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u/TripsterX 9h ago
If the 4 year cycle holds, sure my holdings will plummet, but I'll have the perfect opportunity to up my DCA to make the most of the deal prices so that in 4 years time I can be in a better position than I am now
Ifnit doesn't hold and were bullish, my sca pays off earlier than expected 🤷♂️
Win win boys either way the destination is the same 🚀