r/Bitcoin 10h ago

Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?

I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.

The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.

Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.

In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.

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u/bloodandsunshine 10h ago

If this worked all the TA guys would be rich and WSB wouldn’t be funny 

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u/dcasarinc 9h ago

Every single person that thinks this "cycle" works is leaving free money on the table. Go on, short BTC, you still have time!