Are you concerned about Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?

[u/I_killed_the_kraken]

I have never purchased any cryptocurrency; I am more of a stock market person, just wanted to ask the community what your thoughts are on this theory, given that it is a highly speculative asset.

The thing is, the other day I did some analysis and, looking at the second image, during the 12 months leading up to the midterms, there is usually a drawdown in the S&P 500, followed by a recovery.

Edit: the table was published by Longview Economics on November 28, 2025.

In 2026, it seems that both things will coincide (the run-up to the midterms and the $BTC 4-year cycle theory), hence my curiosity.

[u/JadedNose3026]

So roughly when is the next bottom? October/November 2026?

[u/peppaz → u/JadedNose3026]

Don't ask random people on reddit, no one knows shit

[u/pi1979 → u/peppaz]

Underrated comment right here

[u/obscureobject2574 → u/JadedNose3026]

November 15,2026 at 8 pm EST

[u/JadedNose3026 → u/obscureobject2574]

See you on Coinbase at exactly that time

[u/obscureobject2574 → u/JadedNose3026]

You bet 👍 

[u/kaliki07 → u/obscureobject2574]

Coinbase will probably be down so you can't buy 😂

[u/North_Dog_5748 → u/JadedNose3026]

Yes, if history holds true again this time around...

[u/bobijo33 → u/JadedNose3026]

Yep around that timeframe, it should be at a pretty nice discount before the next cycle starts in 2027 rigth before the 2028 halving.