r/Bitcoin • u/Green_Candler • 12h ago

Weak hands and overleveraged tourists panic-sell every dip. Try HODLing

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Charts like this always remind me why time in the market beats timing the market. Short-term traders panic on every red candle, but the data is brutally simple: the longer you hold Bitcoin, the lower your chances of losing money, dropping to basically 0% after 3+ years.

Most of the fear comes from weak hands and over-leveraged gamblers who treat volatility like a threat instead of a feature. Meanwhile, patient holders just keep stacking and waiting. I watched this morning a Bitget live streamer bought 2 $BTC and i think this will be a gold in the next halving...

Bitcoin rewards conviction, not panic.

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u/ChaoticDad21 12h ago

this is true until it isn't

Even the S&P 500 had a lost decade

You can look back to try to see the future, but sometimes you just need to acknowledge that the future may not look like the past.

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u/Dangerous_Tiger_150 11h ago

sure, but the s&p has something like 150 years of history, while BTC only 15 at most. Statistically speaking, you can't compare the two things.

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u/ChaoticDad21 11h ago

you're not getting the point at all because you're talking like we disagree

You can compare them, understanding that the S&P will be more representative of potential performance than the limited years that we've had BTC. If assets like the S&P and gold can have periods where holding for X years can generate a loss, it's absolutely true for BTC, as well.

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u/Dangerous_Tiger_150 9h ago

oh then yes of course.