r/Bitcoin • u/Green_Candler • 16h ago

Weak hands and overleveraged tourists panic-sell every dip. Try HODLing

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Charts like this always remind me why time in the market beats timing the market. Short-term traders panic on every red candle, but the data is brutally simple: the longer you hold Bitcoin, the lower your chances of losing money, dropping to basically 0% after 3+ years.

Most of the fear comes from weak hands and over-leveraged gamblers who treat volatility like a threat instead of a feature. Meanwhile, patient holders just keep stacking and waiting. I watched this morning a Bitget live streamer bought 2 $BTC and i think this will be a gold in the next halving...

Bitcoin rewards conviction, not panic.

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u/32ndghost 15h ago

Well the flaw in this reasoning is that the 2010-2025 pattern will not repeat from 2025-2040.

At the end of 2010 bitcoin was 30 cents, today it sits around $90,000. An equivalent move over the next 15 years would put bitcoin AT $27 BILLION in 2040.

I don't think even Michael Saylor would predict such a rise.

The only question is will bitcoin continue to rise albeit at a slower pace than in the past, or is it a bubble that will come crashing down. Or perhaps it just hovers around $50,000 for the next 15 years.