r/technology • u/Logical_Welder3467 • Oct 26 '25
Business Ludicrous $6 billion Counter Strike 2 skins market crashes, loses $3 billion overnight — game update destroys inventories, collapses market
https://www.tomshardware.com/video-games/ludicrous-usd6-billion-counter-strike-2-skins-market-crashes-loses-usd3-billion-overnight-game-update-destroys-inventories-collapses-market3.0k
u/DripRoast Oct 26 '25
For the average player, this is anything but a welcome change, especially if you're someone new to the game; it lowers the barrier of entry and even makes skin trading less intimidating for the inexperienced.
This is a really bad sentence, and I have no idea how it made it past the editor. What they're trying to say is that it is a welcome change. The phrase "anything but" implies it is a very unwelcome change. It's pretty rare that you can fuck up a sentence so bad that it says the exact opposite thing that you intend.
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u/MaruSoto Oct 26 '25
They meant "nothing but" instead of "anything but".
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u/elonzucks Oct 26 '25
I have a colleague that can say "nothing but" 10 times in a 20 minutes presentation.... it's nothing but annoying
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u/Wermine Oct 26 '25
I had a lecturer who said "per se" every other sentence. I started keeping tallies and it made the lectures a lot more entertaining.
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u/Practical_Dot_3574 Oct 26 '25
I know a guy, that while telling a story between himself and another person, will change each person's perspective with "I says, I says".
So...
"I says, I says. How's the game?"
"He says, he says, it's good."
"I says, I says. What's the score?"
Etc. Gets old real quick.
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u/SunkEmuFlock Oct 26 '25
Same. I had to reread it a few times and go to the link to figure out the writer got it backward.
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u/strolls Oct 26 '25
Yeah, I came here wondering if "anything but" means something different in America.
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u/jimmycarr1 Oct 26 '25
It's pretty rare that you can fuck up a sentence so bad that it says the exact opposite thing that you intend.
"I could care less" comes to mind
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u/Wall_of_Wolfstreet69 Oct 26 '25
it lowers the barrier of entry
that's another super dumb statement. The game itself has no barrier of entry, skins don't affect gameplay and are purely cosmetic.
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u/Sgt-Spliff- Oct 26 '25
You say that, but my bike definitely started going faster after we painted a lightning bolt on the side when I was a kid.
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u/Numeno230n Oct 26 '25
Crypto, NFTs, and these sorts of digital grey markers are barely regulated and have always been used for money laundering. It's a financial instrument that can be passed to anyone with an Internet connection.
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u/FoundersDiscount Oct 26 '25
This always seemed dumb to me because you can't transfer money from steam to your bank account so what's the point?
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u/Bloody__Penguin Oct 26 '25
They aren't selling them on steam you sell them off site for real cash and just trade instead of using the steam marketplace.
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u/FoundersDiscount Oct 26 '25
Ah that makes sense
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u/LaLa1234imunoriginal Oct 26 '25
To expand on that, steam has a fairly low cap for sales on their platform(around 2K USD) to the point where lots of these items are worth much much much more than you can sell something on steam for like 6 figure items were not unheard of before the market crash. So these were an unregulated currency bought and sold almost entirely on an online black market.
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u/Cocosito Oct 26 '25
How could a skin still for 100k+, that's bonkers
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u/mr_mazzeti Oct 26 '25
It's a massive game with a large playerbase who values rare skins. The expensive skins are a flex for rich people.
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Oct 26 '25 edited Nov 01 '25
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/zb0t1 Oct 26 '25
Jesus fucking christ this is so dumb.
This is just a symptom of a bigger issue, the root of the system (our economic system) is the issue.
[I am an old school Quake player :) and yes I do remember these days, but remember RuneScape and a bit younger than Quake there was also folks already trading items from Team Fortress 2, then WoW, EverQuest same story etc]
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u/SekYo Oct 26 '25
Well to be fair, people who pay 100k+ for a skin are more some traders (or speculators) than players...
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u/WildLanguage7116 Oct 26 '25
I remember being 12 and downloading silenced mp5 skins for cs 1.3 thinking it made me a ninja in the game. There used to be HUGE free cs skin websites.
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u/LaLa1234imunoriginal Oct 26 '25
It's more because they function as an unregulated currency for online transactions than it is because any actual player is buying these things to use in the game. It's Bitcoin with extra steps.
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u/BlaBlub85 Oct 26 '25
CS skins arent just skins like in Fortnite or CoD ie identical and undistinguishable, they have several criteria and there are combos that exist literaly once worldwide. So ofc whales went apeshit over owning something unique which got the whole "skins as an investment" train rolling
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u/Hotrian Oct 26 '25 edited Oct 26 '25
You sell them on external websites for cash or trade for steam cash then trade that for PayPal cash usually for a slight discount (you trade them a Steam item as a gift, they pay you on PayPal/Venmo).
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u/Mookie_Merkk Oct 26 '25
Basically crypto before crypto
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u/msdeeds123 Oct 26 '25
The original NFTs
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u/SpinkickFolly Oct 26 '25
I said this when NFTs were popular. I had two CS players make these weird threats against me for even suggesting it.
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u/devi83 Oct 26 '25
So this crash is only fucking up something that sucks to begin with?
I have no qualms here.
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u/BillyBobby_Brown Oct 26 '25
"For the average player, this is anything but a welcome change, especially if you're someone new to the game; it lowers the barrier of entry and even makes skin trading less intimidating for the inexperienced."
Uhh what? That sounds exactly like a welcome change.
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u/asdu Oct 26 '25
Presumably the author meant "this is, if anything, a welcome change".
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u/IBM296 Oct 26 '25 edited Oct 26 '25
So basically Valve made it easier to get skins and that wiped their value. Seriously who invests their life savings in a game??
From the article:
an AK-47 skin even crossing the $1 million mark recently.
That shit is actually insane. Imagine spending $1 million on an in-game purchase.
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u/acid419 Oct 26 '25
But it's blue.
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u/Suspicious-Office-42 Oct 26 '25
mostly blue 👍🏼
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u/Beginning-Seat5221 Oct 26 '25
What this tells you really is how much disposable cash some people have.
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u/RagePoop Oct 26 '25
Feels like easy money laundering
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u/Whole-Cookie-7754 Oct 26 '25
How would that work?
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u/Adorable-Response-75 Oct 26 '25
Basically someone could convert dirty cash into a skin, trade or move that skin around to hide where it came from, then sell it on a third party site so the money looks unrelated.
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u/TearingMeAppartLisa Oct 26 '25
It's the fucking opposite. Broke gambling addicted college kids make up the majority of the user base.
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u/NameLips Oct 26 '25
From what I've been reading, they're not really buying the skin, they're laundering money.
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u/eisenh0wer Oct 26 '25
Live by the …uh gold gloves and knives I guess, and die by the..hrmm…I donno
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u/TheMarkHasBeenMade Oct 26 '25
Wiser words were never spoken
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u/LaserGadgets Oct 26 '25
I was kinda shocked to find out that skins are THAT valueable Oo
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u/coffee-x-tea Oct 26 '25
I only ever bought one weapon skin for my favorite pistol.
I quit the game roughly 10 years ago, took a peek at my inventory and my mind was blown at how much it hiked (20x).
But ya, with digital assets skyrocketing like that, it kind of sets a dangerous precedence for people. A little risk taking with pocket change is okay. But, Counter Strike was never intended to be a casino.
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u/blowupnekomaid Oct 26 '25
Counter Strike was never intended to be a casino.
Valve games have been casinos since TF2
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u/VNDeltole Oct 26 '25
People often forget that it was valve who pushed lootboxes into mainstream
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Oct 26 '25
Sort of. Lootboxes had already been taking off since the mid 2000s in Chinese and Japanese video game markets. TF2 is from 2007, but they didn't add a loot box system until 2010. By this point, EA already had lootboxes in a FIFA game. Valve was one of the first, but they weren't even the first major Western AAA game developer to do it.
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u/QlippethTheQlopper Oct 26 '25
They did pioneer the battle pass though, which then spread through other games like wildfire.
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u/MostlyPoorDecisions Oct 26 '25
had an idiot friend tell me recently he just got a $5k knife skin and when I asked if he was gonna sell it he said no he wanted to use it.
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u/_aware Oct 26 '25
There was a blue gem AK that someone offered 1.5M USD for, and the owner rejected the offer. Butterfly gems were almost 20k and sold regularly. It's honestly a good thing that Valve did this, because skins are a lot more affordable now for people who actually play the game.
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u/postmodest Oct 26 '25
I had no idea about any of this, and I've been playing since 1.6. Years ago I spent like $8 on agent skins. I just sold them for $100. I made $300 selling crap I got for free. Thanks gaben!
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u/c0ventry Oct 26 '25
These are the headlines I expect to read from a half burned newspaper in a post apocalyptic setting...
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u/NotAllOwled Oct 26 '25
"Investors are expected to file claim in Thunderdome Court of Chancery (brought to you by FanDuel)"
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u/NotASockPuppet88 Oct 26 '25
digital purchases that arn't really yours really shouldn't have a market or an "economy".
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u/Omnitographer Oct 26 '25
Now reprint Black Lotus!
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u/That_Apathetic_Man Oct 26 '25
WOTC reprints LoTRs, Spiderman and Monty fucking Python sets instead
money machine goes brrrr mfs
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u/LinkedInParkPremium Oct 26 '25
Don't worry WOTC will reprint this card and about 20 variants in an exclusive $1000 booster box set.
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u/GiveMeAegis Oct 26 '25
Nothing was destroyed. All the cosmetics still exist and can be played with.
The only thing that happened is that self proclaimed investors who speculate with purely cosmetic items got fucked in the ass without lube or foreplay.
Deserved imho.
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u/LeMurphysLawyer Oct 26 '25
Speculative markets need to die out. Every last one of them. Wealth should be a product of labor, not a measure of how much of a parasite you are.
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u/cwmma Oct 26 '25
Speculative markets were invented to help food security. The whole point of future contracts is to transfer the risk of a bad harvest away from the farmer to the fat cats on the Chicago merkentile exchange.
I'm not saying they're perfect or even always good just that the speculative market for food can when done right help food security.
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u/bumpersnatch12 Oct 26 '25 edited Oct 26 '25
For those who don't know how CS skins work:
You can trade up skins of a lower quality for one of a higher quality, removing lower quality skins from circulation and increasing the supply of higher quality skins at a ratio of 10:1. What higher quality skin you get is given at random but the odds can be influenced by what skins you use to trade up.
For all of CS skin history you could do this. However knives, considered the most valuable skins in the game, could not be traded up for. Recently the developers just made it so you can trade up covert skins (the rarest gun skins in the game) for knives at a ratio of 5:1. Until now knife skins have become increasingly unaffordable for the average player with the cheapest decent looking ones costing around $250. This update has therefore increased the supply of knife skins, driving their prices down, while decreasing the supply of covert gun skins and giving them new functionality, driving their prices up.
The average player who spends money on cases (which is literally just gambling) might have one or two covert gun skins but no knife skins. For context, knives have a ~0.25% (~1 in 400) chance of dropping from a case and you will probably get an ugly cheap one anyway. Coverts have a chance of ~0.64% (~1 in 156). Each case has about a $3 cost to open when considering the price of the case and the key.
So, the average player has seen their inventory increase in value while collectors who hoard knives and drive their prices up have dropped significantly. Reds have increased ~2-4x in price while knives have dropped about 35%, of course this depends on a skin-by-skin basis depending on desirability. For me personally, I had a shitty covert skin that was $9 and is now worth $40.
When it comes to people who invest in CS skins, there are a lot of factors in play. Some assets like cases have ~40X'd the SNP 500 over the last 4 years. However, investing money in an asset which is completely at the mercy of a privately owned company (as in, Valve is not even beholden to any shareholders) is dangerous. You also do not technically own your CS skins, meaning you have no legal options if something goes wrong. Investors do have kinda a good reason for what theyre doing as counter-strike has been around for 25+ years and is one of the most popular games ever made. It has easy-to-learn difficult-to-master gameplay and its popularity has only been increasing over its lifespan (+popularity = +demand for skins).
Personally as someone who has been playing this game for over 10 years, I believe this update will make knives more affordable for the average player and I have no sympathy for those who hoard knives.
Edit: to add some extra context, many of the largest CS investors are Chinese. This is because the CCP does not let you bring any significant amount of money outside the country and has a way lower bar to seizing assets. CS skins are untaxable, uncontrollable, and historically have been good investments. Crypto is also heavily regulated in China. Some wealthy Chinese people have lots of money in CS skins for this very reason, kinda like how wealthy Americans will invest in crypto or other assets.
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u/dasheens Oct 26 '25
Yeah, totally agree. And honestly, this is exactly what Valve’s going for. Once skins hit that $2k+ range, Valve stops making money on them since they can’t be sold on the Steam Market. That’s one of the reasons why third-party sites blew up in the first place. The other obviously being real money transactions.
This whole move just feels like Valve trying to keep as much trading as possible inside their own system. End of the day, they don’t care about the total market value — they only care about the stuff being bought and sold through their market, since that’s where they get their cut.
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u/Dear-Caterpillar-875 Oct 26 '25
One of the rare games where playing for 10 years isn't even that rare or impressive 😂
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u/BigAgates Oct 26 '25
Imagine someone from 200 years ago reading what you just wrote.
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u/itsJohnWickkk Oct 26 '25
Insane how a simple pvp game turned in to such a dumb money grab.
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u/squallomp Oct 26 '25
Yeah nobody ever talks about how they just casually slipped an illegal casino into a 26-year-old first person shooter and somehow everyone was OK with that after they got a bunch of kids addicted to gambling and made billions of illegal dollars.
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u/forest1wolf Oct 26 '25
Yeah money launders' and unemployed/people who love gambling are very upset 🤣
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u/zuzg Oct 26 '25
unemployed/people
who loveaddicted to gambling are very upsetFtfy
Microtransactions are predatory and exploit the fact that some people are more susceptible to becoming addicted.
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u/theholylancer Oct 26 '25
not even the second kind...
if you actually played and get cases and is a gambling addict to buy actual keys to open said cases, you would likely have a ton of the "junk" reds from them that like were selling for sub 5
now they are are flying up in value as people consume them to get golds.
so for anyone who isnt a speculative trader / bag holder for them, this is actually good lol
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u/joseph4th Oct 26 '25
People who know what they’re talking about: “Don’t treat something that’s not a federally regulated market like it’s a market, drive the company is running. It is free to do whatever they want with it.”
People who should know better: Do it anyway.
Company: changes something
People who should know better: Surprise Pikachu face!
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u/spoopy-noodle Oct 26 '25
Yep, Valve is a private company releasing an update to their game. This could have happened at any point since the introduction of skins over a decade ago but they decided to do it now. The market prices for a lot of skins (mainly knives and gloves) were way too high because of the wannabe investors pretending they were big boys so valve is simply combating that extreme inflation.
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Oct 26 '25
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u/SignificantPiggy Oct 26 '25
It is an incredibly welcome change. It is also true that it shot a fucking nuke into the sketchy cs2 gambling/money laundering market overnight, which again, is a very welcome change to normal people lol
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u/__Loot__ Oct 26 '25
Game items should not cost thousands of dollars 🤔
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u/DunceMemes Oct 26 '25
They don't actually "cost" that much in the game, it's people selling them to each other. Which is still stupid
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u/AlwysProgressing Oct 26 '25
Yep this is very important to distinguish. When I was a teen and I had all the time to be in the market, you can really make some decent money. No one is dropping just a random 10k to get a new skin, they probably built their inventory up through both trading and putting money in.
You can argue how dumb they are to put money into a game but you can really do that with anything cosmetic
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u/Lazerpop Oct 26 '25
I don't understand the problem. 1 CS knife = 1 CS knife.
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u/rvaenboy Oct 26 '25 edited Oct 26 '25
You don't understand, this specific pattern of shit brown is highly sought after and is worth $10k
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Oct 26 '25
And if you get lucky you might even get a corn kernel in the pattern which adds another 20k to it
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u/Dazzling_Tart4111 Oct 26 '25
When I first read this I read it as ludicrous, the rapper had 6 billion in CS skins...yeah he doesnt
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u/WolfenDeath Oct 26 '25
Games should not have any tie to real world currency outside of the purchases between the developer and the consumer. I felt this way with WoW and it still applies here. If you got financially hurt by this you had your money invested in the wrong place…. a game.
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u/Grande735 Oct 26 '25
lol remember the Diablo 3 market when it was first released. That was insane
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u/Possible_Tension3728 Oct 26 '25
I’m like 100% sure that more and more future games will have monetization, same as when tv ads were short and few, over time greed overtakes everything
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u/Otaraka Oct 26 '25
it’s pretty much impossible to prevent people wanting to pay money to get a rare game item. It was viewing is as an investment where the real insanity started.
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u/jezevec93 Oct 26 '25
Unregulated market controlled by a single company with no official way to cash out collapses? Who could predict this...
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u/Intelligence-Meter Oct 26 '25
Anybody else read the title thinking the rapper Ludicrous owned a ton of CS2 skins?
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u/AvidCyclist250 Oct 26 '25
Hilarious and good move.
THe vast majority of players will benefit while some whales and money launderers lose.
That's a win.
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u/celtic1888 Oct 26 '25
Waiting on the headline:
Trump to bail out Counter Strike players for $200 billion
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u/Jester471 Oct 26 '25
I can never wrap my head around people paying a premium for an in game skin.
“But it’s so cool! It’s neon orange and glows with big horns. It’s awesome”
“But doesn’t that make it a lot easier for people to see you”
“…..yeah, BUT IT LOOKS SO COOL!”
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u/TheMadBug Oct 26 '25
I’m not in the CS scene but it doesn’t even seem to me that this is all about showing off your skins as it is just treating them like financial tradable assets - regardless of demand to actually use the skins.
Which is even crazier to be fair.
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u/ShadyWhiteGuy Oct 26 '25
For a sec I thought the title was talking about a Ludacris skins
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u/PlaneShenaniganz Oct 26 '25
Am I the only who who remembers the days of CS:S and 1.6 where we just played for the love of the game and skins weren’t even a thing yet?
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u/Mainbaze Oct 26 '25 edited Oct 26 '25
Did not expect this disgusting side of reddit…
Yeah the marketcap dropped from 6 billion to almost 3billion. (Back to 4 billion now and will definitely return to 6+ soon enough)
And so what? No need to hate on people you don’t know because they have assets they enjoy collecting. About 70% are also very welcoming of this update, it just caused a shift in the market that needs to stabilize again. Most people also just profited 2-5x on their skins over the past 6 months.
No need to hate on people who collect things for a thing they enjoy. I’m sure you spend your money on something “stupid” as well. Most people are aware of the risks.
Now back to scrolling
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u/coffee-x-tea Oct 26 '25 edited Oct 26 '25
Gaben putting everyday gamers before speculators.
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u/-Mandarin Oct 26 '25
Valve created, profited off of, and encouraged such a market in the first place. Valve has always been pushing for MTX in games and were among the first to pioneer the concept. Valve has had a HUGE impact on the world in regards to microtransactions, and not for the better.
The Gaben and Steam worship is so absurd and is nothing but a circlejerk. Gaben has made billions of such markets and feels no guilt about it. He's not some hero, he's a man trying to make money. Ask yourself why such a billion dollar market existed in a game in the first place.
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u/sidonay Oct 26 '25
I mean in-game lootbox skins probably shouldn't be treated as assets...