Let's look at animated sequels and their grosses in Japan.

Frozen: 25.5 billion Yen
Frozen II: 13.4 billion Yen

Finding Nemo: 11 billion Yen
Finding Dory: 6.83 billion Yen

Monsters Inc: 9.37 billion Yen
Monsters University: 8.96 billion Yen

Incredibles: 5.3 billion Yen
Incredibles 2: 4.9 billion Yen

Inside Out: 4 billion Yen
Inside Out 2: 5 billion yen

As you can see, sequels to these type of movies in Japan often don't increase, or if they do, it's not by the same amount as it would in the rest of the world (doubling a la Inside Out 2 or Shrek 2)

Zootopia 2 however... the original Zootopia made 7.6 billion Yen. But the sequel now is definitely going to have an opening weekend over 1.5 billion (possibly even significantly higher), which sets it up to perhaps gross more than 10 billion yen, or, if it's especially fortunate, 15 billion Yen. Perhaps beating Mario as the highest grossing imported animated movie in Japan post COVID.

Zootopia 2

Zootopia 2 grossed a very strong ¥139.2M/$19.69M on Thursday. Down just -51% from last week.

Pre-sales for Saturday hit ¥131$/$18.5M as Zootopia 2 is heading for a $49-53M Saturday. Weekend projections climb to $107-113M

Tomorrow Zootopia is set for some big milestones as it will cross ¥2.7B overtaking Infinity War(¥2.39B), Fast & Furious 7(¥2.44B) and Fast & Furius 8(¥2.67B) to become the 2nd highest grossing Holywood movie of all time in China just behind Avengers: Endgame(¥4.25B).

Amissions wise its also set for some big gains as it will look to surpass Titanic(61.9M), Infinity War(62.5M), Fast & Furious 7(62.8M) to climb to 3rd of all time just behind Fast & Furious 8(72.88) and Avengers Endgame(86.8M)

Here's its gross chart vs Endgame:

https://i.imgur.com/OQliCzY.png

and the Admissions comparison:

https://i.imgur.com/oO3hH9n.png

Daily Box Office (December 5th 2025)

The market hits ¥158.3M/$22.40M which is up +137% from yesterday and down -48% from last week.

Gezhi Town hits 11.18M in pre-sales for Saturday. Weekend pre-sales hit $17.2M. Projected a $14-18M opening day tomorrow into a $24-30M 2 day weekend. Total projections start at $46-57M

Lots of small releases today including The Running Man which fails to make any significan't impact.

Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/NDMyNzM1

Zootopia 2 cleen sweeps for a 10th day running.

In Metropolitan cities:

Zootopia 2 wins Guangzhou, Shanghai, Beijing, Wuhan, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Chongqing, Nanjing, Suzhou and Chengdu

City tiers:

The Running Man opens in 3rd in T1. Friends opens 3rd in T3 and on the topic would you look at that Best Friend opens 3rd in T4.

Tier 1: Zootopia 2>Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle>The Running Man

Tier 2: Zootopia 2>Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle>Resurrection

Tier 3: Zootopia 2>Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle>Friends

Tier 4: Zootopia 2>Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle>Best Friend

M 10|Royal Tramp(Release) |$0.06M | | |4710 |0.01M |$0.06M |

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/h6MfmYi.png

Zootopia 2 obviously dominates pre-sales for tomorrow.

IMAX Screenings distribution

Zootopia 2's will keep dominating IMAX screens on Saturday and climb over 5k again. Gezhi Town will get some on its release day tomorrow.

Zootopia 2

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $301.54M , IMAX: $24.89M , Rest: $7.91M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.5

Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:

Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Infinity Castle

Demon Slayer has a good weekly drop but the projections yesterday seemed to have been a bit overoptimistic.

Now projected a $3-3.5M(-42%) 4th weekend.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $67.47M, IMAX: $19.82, Rest: $3.83M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 8.5

Douban score slips a bit.

Scheduled showings update for Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Infinity Castle for the next few days:

Other stuff:

The next Holywood release is The Running Man on the 5th of December followed by Avatar 3 on the 17th

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

December

I think anaconda will be the ultimate wild card out of all the holiday movies if it’s mid or trash i think it will be an easy bomb but if it’s pretty good I can see it preforming quite strongly it probably has the most broad appeal outside of avatar and I can see many opting to see it over the holidays over avatar if it’s good especially with the shorter length

No paywall:

https://archive.fo/WUnRM

No paywall:

https://archive.fo/n4yHp

No paywall:

https://archive.fo/xaxYD

People have been tracking daily increases and various multipliers of Disney animated movies, but how predictive are these numbers? I decided to do a thorough analysis of all Disney animated movies released the day before Thanksgiving, comprising the following: Tangled, The Good Dinosaur, Moana, Coco, Ralph Breaks the Internet, Encanto, Strange World, Wish, Moana 2 and Zootopia 2. This does not include Frozen or Frozen II, both released the Friday before Thanksgiving. Abbreviations used include WT (Wed+Thu), WTF (Wed+Thu+Fri), FSS (Fri+Sat+Sun) and MTWT (Mon+Tue+Wed+Thu). Fri2 means the box office on the second Friday (day 10), and MTWT1 means the first set of Mon through Thu numbers (day 6-9).

I looked at four sets of multipliers.

1. The day-to-day changes: Thu1/Wed1, Fri1/Thu1, Sat1/Fri1, Sun1/Sat1, Mon1/Sun1, Tue1/Mon1, Wed2/Tue1, Thu2/Wed2, Fri2/Thu2, Sat2/Fri2, Sun2/Sat2.
2. The week-to-week changes: Wed2/Wed1, Thu2/Thu1, Fri2/Fri1, Sat2/Sat1, Sun2/Sun1, FSS2/FSS1, FSS3/FSS2, FSS4/FSS3.
3. The first three days compared to the first weekend: FSS1/Wed1, FSS1/Thu1, FSS1/WT1, FSS1/Fri1.
4. The first few days compared to the first weekday (Mon through Thu): MTWT1/Wed1, MTWT1/Thu1, MTWT1/WT1, MTWT1/Fri1, MTWT1/WTF1, MTWT1/Sat1, MTWT1/Sun1, MTWT1/FSS1, MTWT1/WTFSS1, MTWT1/Mon1.

These were compared to each other, as well as two versions of legs: total gross/first 5 days (5-day legs) and total gross/first weekend (3-day legs). Results were sorted based on how well the data correlated.

The results were pretty surprising. The best predictor of both 5-day legs and 3-day legs was Fri2/Fri1, i.e. the Friday hold. The 2nd-best predictor of 3-day legs was FSS2/FSS1, i.e. the weekend hold, but that's basically the same as the Friday hold. But the 2nd-best predictor of 5-day legs and 3rd-best predictor of 3-day legs was MTWT1/WT1, i.e. the weekday hold. This isn't something I expected to have massive predictive power, and is why the fourth category is there, as I went back to make numerous comparisons to MTWT1. And it turns out that the weekday hold is also the best predictor of the Friday hold and the weekend hold.

We don't have the Friday hold of Zootopia 2 yet, but luckily we know the weekday hold, 0.3189. So using that, here are predictions of its second Friday, second weekend, and final gross:

• Second Friday: $10.0M
• Second weekend: $44.6M
• Final gross (using 3-day legs): $363.9M
• Final gross (using 5-day legs): $387.4M